The Phoenix that is Civilization

The Fate of Empires: The Search for Survival is a paper written by Sir John Glubb back in 1977 and is his own introspective look at the way in which history seems to be teaching us the same lesson.

Over and over again, empires rise and grow only to decay some 250 years later, like the changing of the seasons, or like the mythical phoenix.

What I hope to accomplish over these next couple of weeks is to teach a little history in order to show how predictable this cycle has become as we have grown into the most dominant species of the world.

Link to Proposal:



5 thoughts on “The Phoenix that is Civilization”

  1. You have a super interesting idea here; studying how our civilization revolves around Glubb’s lifecycle. However I am a little unsure on how you are going to present your findings. You mentioned one final project, but I think doing a weekly update comparing the stages of our lifecycles to others would be interesting and exciting to follow along. Bringing in more sources may add to your presentations, allowing for a diversity of viewpoints on lifecycles of civilizations, as well as predicting a few different outcomes of our future civilizations. Overall you have an incredibly interesting topic that should make for an intriguing DA.


  2. Hi Lachlan!

    I think that your idea is super different from all the other ideas I’ve heard, in a good way! I like that you are using Glubb as your source for main inspiration, it’s very refreshing to see a such clear inspiration and idea.

    I would advise you to just be careful not to get lost in the history too much, as after all we are attempting to address future cultures! Always keep it in the back of your mind that you are going to be relating it back to the future, try to only use relevant past information that will be useful to predict future empires! In saying that, I think the idea of predicting & guessing what culture changes we should expect in the future is a great idea to start with and it would be great to see how this can evolve. Are you potentially going to analyse the positives and negatives of previous & past empires and how they have reflected negatively/positively on us? Where this would lead us in the future? Something to consider.

    I’m sure there are some current examples you could also include in your research: Have you considered looking at past trends in order to solidify your predictions of empires to rise? It will be interesting to see how you will evaluate how one thing has lead to another to get us to where we are now in comparison to where you predict we might be in the future!

    Overall I am very excited to see how this DA turns out and wish you all the best!


  3. I love your idea, is a fun fact that our history are always repeating like the Glubb’s cycle, in the video presentation you did a really good job, the video you made look really good, and in the video , you got all the reference, explaining the methodology, but it is a bit confusing to me,as I think its not too specific how it relate to future, to the new technology and our life, after I look into your presentation, I am not sure how this D.A would work, what is your aim for the work? I think you could bring some more sources to make us understand your thought more, also try to combine it with different elements so we could follow your idea more. This topic is really attractive, and the video looks really good to me.


  4. Your idea is really attractive, and the video looks really good, you contained the reference, and explain your concept clearly, but I think in the presentation more specific, as when I look into your video, I am not sure how the history cycle would work in the future, and what might happen in the future, I think you could talk more about the new technologies and what is their roles in the cycle, which could make us understand more how your work would work, and imagine what the future would be like in your mind, but I love your idea so much, I think it would be very attractive once you collaborate the work more.


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